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Football/J1 League/Shimizu S-Pulse v Machida
J1 League · IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-Pulse v Machida prediction

Shimizu S-Pulse crestShimizu S-Pulse10th of 20 · 14 ptsWWWLD
v
Machida crestMachida2nd of 20 · 23 ptsWDWWW

What to expect

We expect about 0.9 goals from Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.4 from Machida, so Machida come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Machida come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Shimizu S-Pulse to score 1 or fewer. This is about Shimizu S-Pulse's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 74%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Shimizu S-Pulse have won three of their last five.
✓Machida are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.

Recent results

5 Jul 2025Machida 3 - 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
11 May 2025Shimizu S-Pulse 2 - 2 Machida

Machida have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.

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More J1 League fixtures

Full fixture list
Every game on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 →
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