What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Yokohama F. Marinos and 0.6 from Verdy, so Yokohama F. Marinos come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Verdy come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.1 goals between the two (xG 1.5-0.6). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.80, which works out at about 56 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Verdy have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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