What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.2 from FC Anyang, so Gimcheon Sangmu come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Gimcheon Sangmu or Draw. This covers Gimcheon Sangmu or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.26, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Gimcheon Sangmu are unbeaten in their last three — one win and two draws.
✓FC Anyang have won one of their last three.
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