Pohang Steelers v Jeju SK prediction

What to expect

Pohang Steelers host Jeju SK at home in a K League 1 clash on 1 November 2026. The Steelers sit ninth out of twelve with 42 points after 33 games, their goal difference a disappointing minus nine. That places them in the relegation zone, just one point behind FC Anyang and eight points ahead of Gimcheon Sangmu. Jeju SK sit two places higher in seventh, holding 46 points and a modest plus two goal difference. They are level on points with Incheon United above them and sit three points clear of FC Anyang below. Both teams are fighting to stay clear of the drop, so the stakes are high for each side.

Pohang’s recent form has been poor. In their last eight matches they have managed only one win, three draws and four defeats. The sequence, newest first, shows a 3-0 loss to Kashima Antlers away, a 2-2 draw with Ulsan HD FC away, a goalless draw with FC Anyang at home, a 2-0 defeat to Johor Darul Ta’zim at home, a 3-0 loss to Incheon United away and a 2-1 victory over FC Seoul at home. They have now gone five games without a win. In those eight games they have scored seven goals while conceding sixteen, kept only one clean sheet and have failed to find the net in four matches. Six of those games featured three or more goals and both sides scored in four of them. The Steelers played just four days ago, so they arrive on a short turnaround.

Jeju SK have been a little steadier but are coming off three straight defeats. Their last eight outings contain three wins, two draws and three losses. The most recent results are a 3-1 loss to Incheon United away, a 3-2 defeat to Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors away, a 2-1 loss to FC Seoul away, a 1-0 win over Gangwon FC away, a 2-2 draw with Bucheon FC 1995 away and a 1-0 victory against Gwangju FC away. Their road form in the last six games reads two wins, one draw and three defeats. Over the eight-game stretch they have scored eleven and let in eleven, kept three clean sheets and have been shut out once. Five of those games produced three or more goals and both teams scored in five of them. Jeju’s last match was eight days ago.

The two clubs have met five times recently, with Pohang winning three of those encounters and Jeju taking two. The meetings have averaged 2.4 goals per game, suggesting a modest scoring rate. The most recent meeting on 25 August 2026 ended 2-1 to Pohang. Given the low expected goal totals – 1.1 for Pohang and 1.0 for Jeju – the upcoming game is likely to be tight and low-scoring, perhaps a single goal deciding the result.

We back Pohang Steelers or a draw at odds of 1.42. The price is shorter than our own reading, giving us a safety net while still favouring the home side. Pohang have a 71 % chance of scoring at least once and a 34 % chance of scoring twice, while Jeju have a 69 % chance of finding the net and a 32 % chance of a double. Our chance that this selection will be right sits at 67 %. For the pick to fail, both teams would need to stay shut out or Jeju would have to win outright, which looks less likely given the recent form and the tight scoring outlook.