How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Al-Tadhamon or Draw 68%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Al-Tadhamon and 1.1 from Al Sahel SC, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Al-Tadhamon come into this on five straight defeats. Al Sahel SC come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Al-Tadhamon or Draw. This covers Al-Tadhamon or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.47, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Al Sahel SC have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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