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Football/Latvia Virsliga/Ogre United v BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Virsliga

Ogre United v BFC Daugavpils prediction

Ogre United crestOgre United10th of 10 · 18 ptsDLW
v
BFC Daugavpils crestBFC Daugavpils5th of 10 · 39 ptsLD

What to expect

We expect about 1.1 goals from Ogre United and 1.7 from BFC Daugavpils, so BFC Daugavpils come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: BFC Daugavpils or Draw. This covers BFC Daugavpils or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.25, which works out at about 80 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Ogre United have won one of their last three.

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More Latvia Virsliga fixtures

Full fixture list
RFS crestRFSvFK JelgavaFK Jelgava crest★★★★★
RFS are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.9-0.6), and we make them about 84% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookRFS to win · 1.14Share
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