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Football/League of Ireland/St. Patricks v Shelbourne
League of Ireland · Richmond Park

St. Patricks v Shelbourne prediction

St. Patricks crestSt. Patricks2nd of 10 · 59 ptsWLWWW
v
Shelbourne crestShelbourne6th of 10 · 40 ptsLLWDW

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from St. Patricks and 0.8 from Shelbourne, so St. Patricks come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

St. Patricks come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.2 goals in total (xG 1.5-0.8), keeping it under more often than not (about 75%). Clear chances should be at a premium.

We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓St. Patricks have won four of their last five.
✓Shelbourne have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

9 Aug 2026Shelbourne 1 - 2 St. Patricks
15 May 2026St. Patricks 0 - 1 Shelbourne
6 Mar 2026Shelbourne 2 - 3 St. Patricks
1 Nov 2025Shelbourne 0 - 0 St. Patricks
16 Jun 2025St. Patricks 0 - 1 Shelbourne
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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More League of Ireland fixtures

Full fixture list
Bohemians crestBohemiansvWaterfordWaterford crest★★★★★
Bohemians are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-1.2), and we make them about 58% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookBohemians to win · 1.39Share
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