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Football/Liga MX/Pachuca v Toluca
Liga MX · Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca v Toluca prediction

Pachuca crestPachuca8th of 18 · 22 ptsLLWWW
v
Toluca crestToluca4th of 18 · 27 ptsDDDDW

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Pachuca and 1.4 from Toluca, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Pachuca come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Pachuca or Draw. This covers Pachuca or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.50, which works out at about 67 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Pachuca have won three of their last five.
✓Toluca are unbeaten in their last five — one win and four draws.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

11 May 2026Pachuca 2 - 0 Toluca
4 May 2026Toluca 0 - 1 Pachuca
22 Mar 2026Pachuca 1 - 1 Toluca
27 Oct 2025Toluca 2 - 2 Pachuca
29 Mar 2025Toluca 3 - 2 Pachuca

Pachuca have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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More Liga MX fixtures

Full fixture list
Every game on Saturday, 21 November 2026 →
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