How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Puebla (Draw No Bet) 59%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from Puebla and 1.1 from Santos Laguna, so Puebla come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Santos Laguna come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Puebla (Draw No Bet). Puebla are favoured here (xG 1.6-1.2), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Puebla defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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