What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Puebla and 1.2 from Santos Laguna, so Puebla come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Puebla come into this on three straight defeats. Santos Laguna come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Puebla (Draw No Bet). Puebla are favoured here (xG 1.6-1.2), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Puebla defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Santos Laguna win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. We make it about 64% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
