What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Queretaro and 1.1 from Necaxa, so Queretaro come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Queretaro come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Queretaro or Draw. This covers Queretaro or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.12, which works out at about 89 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Necaxa have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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