What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Queretaro and 0.9 from Puebla, so Queretaro come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Queretaro come into this on three straight defeats. Puebla come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Puebla to score 1 or fewer. This is about Puebla's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 78%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Queretaro have won four of the last five meetings.
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