What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from Santos Laguna and 1.3 from Necaxa, so Santos Laguna come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Santos Laguna or Draw. This covers Santos Laguna or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Necaxa have won four of the last five meetings.
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