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Football/Ligue 1/Lorient v Rennes
Ligue 1

Lorient v Rennes prediction

Lorient crestLorient10th of 18 · 12 ptsDLWWD
v
Rennes crestRennes5th of 18 · 16 ptsWLDWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Lorient and 1.5 from Rennes, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 60%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.63, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Lorient have won two of their last five.
✓Rennes have won two of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

24 Jan 2026Rennes 0 - 2 Lorient
24 Aug 2025Lorient 4 - 0 Rennes
3 Mar 2024Rennes 1 - 2 Lorient
22 Oct 2023Lorient 2 - 1 Rennes
27 Jan 2023Lorient 2 - 1 Rennes

Lorient have won five of the last five meetings.

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Paris SG crestParis SGvTroyesTroyes crest★★★★★
Paris SG are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 3.0-0.7), and we make them about 90% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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