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Football/Ligue 1/Lyon v Rennes
Ligue 1

Lyon v Rennes: how it went

Lyon crestLyon2nd of 18 · 11 ptsWDWDW
4 - 0
Rennes crestRennes5th of 18 · 10 ptsDWWWD
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 3.2 goals and the game finished with 4. We made Both teams to score 63%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.8 goals from Lyon and 1.4 from Rennes, so Lyon come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.8-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 63%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Lyon are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓Rennes are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent results

3 May 2026Lyon 4 - 2 Rennes
14 Sept 2025Rennes 3 - 1 Lyon
26 Apr 2025Lyon 4 - 1 Rennes
18 Aug 2024Rennes 3 - 0 Lyon
26 Jan 2024Lyon 2 - 3 Rennes

Rennes have won three of the last five meetings.

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