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Football/Ligue 1/Troyes v Le Havre
Ligue 1

Troyes v Le Havre prediction

Troyes crestTroyes16th of 18 · 8 ptsLLLDW
v
Le Havre crestLe Havre18th of 18 · 2 ptsLLLLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.2 goals from Troyes and 1.3 from Le Havre, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Le Havre come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.2-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.62, which works out at about 62 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Troyes have won one of their last five.
✓Le Havre have not won any of their last five.

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More Ligue 1 fixtures

Full fixture list
Paris SG crestParis SGvTroyesTroyes crest★★★★★
Paris SG are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 3.0-0.7), and we make them about 90% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookParis SG to win · 1.15Share
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