How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Dunkerque and 1.2 from Clermont, so Dunkerque come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Dunkerque come into this on two straight defeats. Clermont come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This one is tight against the line: we make it around 2.9 goals (xG 1.7-1.2) and it takes four to beat us, keeping it under more often than not (about 70%). A close call rather than a comfortable one.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Dunkerque have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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