What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Metz and 1.1 from Boulogne, so Metz come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Metz or Draw. This covers Metz or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.22, which works out at about 82 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Metz have won two of their last five.
✓Boulogne have won two of their last five.
Recent results
6 Nov 2026Wat Montpellier · 2 - 3
30 Oct 2026Lvs Pau FC · 1 - 3
23 Oct 2026Dat Dunkerque · 1 - 1
17 Oct 2026Wvs Sochaux · 3 - 2
12 Oct 2026Lat Dijon · 4 - 2
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