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Football/Ligue 2/Pau FC v Grenoble
Ligue 2

Pau FC v Grenoble prediction

Pau FC crestPau FCDDLWW
v
Grenoble crestGrenoble15th of 18 · 8 ptsLWDLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Pau FC and 1.3 from Grenoble, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Pau FC come into this on two straight wins. Grenoble come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This does not need a goal rush: we make it around 2.6 goals (xG 1.4-1.3), and two is enough to land it, landing about 70% of the time on these numbers.

We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Pau FC have won two of their last five.
✓Grenoble have won one of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

23 Jan 2026Pau FC 2 - 2 Grenoble
17 Oct 2025Grenoble 1 - 1 Pau FC
28 Feb 2025Pau FC 1 - 0 Grenoble
30 Aug 2024Grenoble 1 - 1 Pau FC
24 Feb 2024Grenoble 0 - 1 Pau FC

Pau FC have won two of the last five meetings, with three drawn.

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Metz crestMetzvSochauxSochaux crest★★★★★
This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.1 goals in total (xG 1.2-0.9), keeping it under more often than not (about 81%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
Top pickUnder 3.5 goals · 1.33Share
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