Sochaux v Nantes: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Sochaux to score 75%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.6 goals from Sochaux and 1.0 from Nantes, so Sochaux come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Sochaux come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Sochaux to score. This is about Sochaux's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.6 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 75%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.