What to expect
We expect about 2.2 goals from St Etienne and 1.2 from Nantes, so St Etienne come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
St Etienne come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: St Etienne to win. St Etienne are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-1.2), and we make them about 60% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.84, which works out at about 54 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Nantes have won one of the last four meetings, with three drawn.
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