What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from FC Wiltz 71 and 2.3 from Una Strassen, so Una Strassen come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
FC Wiltz 71 come into this on two straight defeats. Una Strassen come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Una Strassen to win. Una Strassen shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-2.3), and we make them about 75% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.20, which works out at about 83 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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