What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Boston Utd and 1.7 from Southend, so Southend come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Boston Utd to score. This is about Boston Utd's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 73%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Boston Utd have won one of their last five.
✓Southend have won three of their last five.
✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last four meetings.
Recent meetings
24 Jan 2026Boston Utd 3 - 3 Southend
13 Sept 2025Southend 1 - 1 Boston Utd
25 Mar 2025Boston Utd 3 - 0 Southend
20 Aug 2024Southend 2 - 0 Boston Utd
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