What to expect
We expect about 2.3 goals from Carlisle and 1.1 from Boston Utd, so Carlisle come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Carlisle come into this on four straight wins. Boston Utd come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Carlisle to win. Carlisle are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-1.1), and we make them about 66% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Carlisle have won two of the last two meetings.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
