What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from Carlisle and 1.3 from Forest Green, so Carlisle come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.8-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.45, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Carlisle have won two of their last five.
✓Forest Green have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last four meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last four meetings.
Recent meetings
14 Feb 2026Forest Green 1 - 3 Carlisle
18 Oct 2025Carlisle 4 - 2 Forest Green
22 Jan 2022Forest Green 3 - 0 Carlisle
2 Oct 2021Carlisle 0 - 2 Forest Green
