What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Hartlepool and 1.7 from Harrogate, so Harrogate come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Hartlepool come into this on three straight defeats. Harrogate come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Hartlepool to score. This is about Hartlepool's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 74%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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