What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Hornchurch and 1.1 from Aldershot, so Hornchurch come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Hornchurch or Draw. This covers Hornchurch or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Hornchurch have won two of their last five.
✓Aldershot have won two of their last five.
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