Kidderminster v Sutton: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Kidderminster to score 76%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.6 goals from Kidderminster and 0.9 from Sutton, so Kidderminster come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Kidderminster come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Kidderminster to score. This is about Kidderminster's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.6 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 76%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.