What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Kidderminster and 0.8 from Sutton, so Kidderminster come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Sutton come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Sutton to score 1 or fewer. This is about Sutton's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.8 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
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