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Football/National League/Kidderminster v Worthing
National League

Kidderminster v Worthing prediction

Kidderminster crestKidderminster11th of 24 · 20 ptsDLLDD
v
Worthing crestWorthing5th of 24 · 24 ptsWDWWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Kidderminster and 1.3 from Worthing, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Kidderminster come into this on two straight draws. Worthing come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Kidderminster or Draw. This covers Kidderminster or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.43, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Kidderminster have not won any of their last five.
✓Worthing are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.

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Harrogate crestHarrogatevSuttonSutton crest★★★★★
Harrogate are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.4-1.1), and we make them about 64% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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