How it turned out
We projected about 4.1 goals; the game finished with 2. We made Both teams to score 70%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.2 goals from Scunthorpe and 1.9 from Harrogate, so Scunthorpe come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 4.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 2.2-1.8), and we make both teams to score about 70%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.54, which works out at about 65 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Harrogate have won two of the last two meetings.
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