How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Scunthorpe (Draw No Bet) 66%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from Scunthorpe and 1.4 from Solihull, so Scunthorpe come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Scunthorpe come into this on two straight defeats. Solihull come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Scunthorpe (Draw No Bet). Scunthorpe are favoured here (xG 1.9-1.4), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Scunthorpe defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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