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Football/National League/Solihull v Carlisle
National League

Solihull v Carlisle prediction

Solihull crestSolihull23rd of 24 · 7 ptsLLWLL
v
Carlisle crestCarlisle14th of 24 · 17 ptsLWWWD

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Solihull and 2.1 from Carlisle, so Carlisle come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Solihull come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Solihull to score 1 or fewer. This is about Solihull's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 67%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.46, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Solihull have won one of their last five.
✓Carlisle have won three of their last five.

Recent meetings

17 Jan 2026Solihull 3 - 3 Carlisle
19 Aug 2025Carlisle 1 - 1 Solihull
All two of the last meetings were drawn.

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Harrogate are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.4-1.1), and we make them about 64% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookHarrogate to win · 1.66Share
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