Worthing v Wealdstone: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.6 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Worthing (Draw No Bet) 67%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.2 goals from Worthing and 1.4 from Wealdstone, so Worthing come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Worthing (Draw No Bet). Worthing are favoured here (xG 2.5-1.4), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Worthing defeat beats you.

We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.54, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.