Yeovil v Worthing: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.2 goals; the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Yeovil to score 2 or fewer 79%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.5 goals from Yeovil and 1.7 from Worthing, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Yeovil come into this on two straight wins. Worthing come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Yeovil to score 2 or fewer. This is about Yeovil's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 79%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.