Crusaders v Coleraine prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Crusaders and 2.1 from Coleraine, so Coleraine come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Crusaders come into this on three straight defeats. Coleraine come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Coleraine to win. Coleraine shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-2.1), and we make them about 66% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.