What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Dungannon Swifts and 1.6 from Crusaders, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Dungannon Swifts or Draw. This covers Dungannon Swifts or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.13, which works out at about 88 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Crusaders have won three of the last five meetings.
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