What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from 2 de Mayo and 0.8 from Sportivo San Lorenzo, so 2 de Mayo come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: 2 de Mayo or Draw. This covers 2 de Mayo or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 82 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.20, which works out at about 83 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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