What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Alianza Atlético and 1.2 from FBC Melgar, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Alianza Atlético or Draw. This covers Alianza Atlético or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.59, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
FBC Melgar have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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