What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Alianza Atlético and 1.2 from Universitario de Deportes, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Alianza Atlético come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Universitario de Deportes or Draw. This covers Universitario de Deportes or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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