What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Crystal Palace and 1.1 from Hull, so Crystal Palace come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Crystal Palace or Draw. This covers Crystal Palace or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.23, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Crystal Palace have won one of their last five.
✓Hull have not won any of their last five.
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