What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Ipswich and 2.1 from Liverpool, so Liverpool come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Ipswich come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Liverpool to win. Liverpool shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-2.2), and we make them about 62% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.67, which works out at about 60 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn Ipswich a draw or better. We make it about 62% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
