What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from Al-Ahli and 1.4 from Al-Sailiya, so Al-Ahli come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Al-Ahli or Draw. This covers Al-Ahli or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.15, which works out at about 87 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Al-Ahli have not won any of their last four.
✓Al-Sailiya have not won any of their last three.
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