What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Al-Shahaniya and 1.8 from Al-Arabi, so Al-Arabi come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Al-Arabi or Draw. This covers Al-Arabi or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Al-Shahaniya have won two of their last four.
✓Al-Arabi have won one of their last four.
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