CFR Cluj v Farul Constanta: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 0.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.9 goals from CFR Cluj and 0.9 from Farul Constanta, so CFR Cluj come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

CFR Cluj come into this on two straight wins. Farul Constanta come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: CFR Cluj (Draw No Bet). CFR Cluj are favoured here (xG 1.9-0.9), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a CFR Cluj defeat beats you.

We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.44, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

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