What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Farul Constanta and 0.8 from Petrolul, so Farul Constanta come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Farul Constanta to win. Farul Constanta are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-0.9), and we make them about 46% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 45 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.30, which works out at about 43 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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