How it turned out
We projected about 2.0 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made FC Arges (Draw No Bet) 63%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
FC Arges and Farul Constanta meet in the Romania Superliga on August 14. We think FC Arges are the stronger side here, but not by much. The gap between them is not huge, which suggests a tight game. We expect a low-scoring match with FC Arges having a slight edge.
Looking at their past meetings, FC Arges and Farul Constanta have played each other five times recently. FC Arges won one of those games, while Farul Constanta won two, and two ended in a draw. The average number of goals in those meetings was very low, at just 1.0 goal per game. Their most recent meeting was on February 22, when FC Arges won 1-0 at home.
Our pick for this game is FC Arges, but with a safety net. We like FC Arges on a Draw No Bet basis, which means if the game ends level, our stake comes back. This way, only a FC Arges defeat would beat us. The price looks good to us, it is longer than we think it should be, which is why we are making this pick.
We think FC Arges will come out on top, but we are not saying it is a certainty. For our pick to go wrong, Farul Constanta would need to win the game. We think this is less likely, and our confidence in FC Arges is around 68 out of 100. If things go as we expect, FC Arges should win a tight, low-scoring game.
Recent meetings
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