How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 2. We made FC Botosani or Draw 69%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from FC Botosani and 1.1 from UTA Arad, so FC Botosani come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: FC Botosani or Draw. This covers FC Botosani or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
UTA Arad have won four of the last five meetings.
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