How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Under 2.5 goals 51%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from FC Voluntari and 1.6 from Otelul, so Otelul come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
FC Voluntari come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This one is tight against the line: we make it around 3.0 goals (xG 1.4-1.6) and it takes three to beat us, keeping it under more often than not (about 53%). A close call rather than a comfortable one.
We put the chance of that landing at about 51 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.74, which works out at about 57 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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