How it turned out
The game finished with 4 goals. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
FCSB come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: FCSB to win. FCSB are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.9), and we make them about 61% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.78, which works out at about 56 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn Farul Constanta a draw or better. We make it about 61%: a lean, not a lock.
