How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Under 3.5 goals 70%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from FCSB and 0.9 from FC Botosani, so FCSB come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
FCSB come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.9 goals in total (xG 2.0-0.9), keeping it under more often than not (about 72%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.47, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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