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Football/Romania Superliga/Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe v Univ. Craiova
Romania Superliga · Arena Sepsi OSK

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe v Univ. Craiova prediction

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe crestSepsi Sf. Gheorghe11th of 16 · 13 ptsWLWLL
v
Univ. Craiova crestUniv. Craiova3rd of 16 · 20 ptsWDWWW

What to expect

We expect about 0.8 goals from Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe and 1.3 from Univ. Craiova, so Univ. Craiova come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe come into this on two straight defeats. Univ. Craiova come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Univ. Craiova or Draw. This covers Univ. Craiova or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 81 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.20, which works out at about 83 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe have won two of their last five.
✓Univ. Craiova are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.
✓Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in five of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

14 Dec 2024Univ. Craiova 2 - 1 Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe
11 Aug 2024Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 1 - 2 Univ. Craiova
18 May 2024Univ. Craiova 3 - 2 Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe
21 Apr 2024Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 1 - 3 Univ. Craiova
4 Feb 2024Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 1 - 3 Univ. Craiova
Univ. Craiova have won five of the last five meetings.

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